Model Rating: 90/100 | Win probability: 30% | Fair: 7/3 | Available: 10/3 | Grade: A Shiffra looks well treated returning to handicap company after breaking her duck at Lingfield in June. That victory has since been strengthened because Pureis King, who finished clear with her, won his next two starts. That means the race […]
UK Horse Racing
Model Rating: 88/100 | Win probability: 20% | Fair: 4/1 | Available: 5/1 | Grade: A- Perfidia has been more consistent this season than the raw form figures might initially suggest and comes here in a race where returning to a mile looks important. He has already won twice this year and races from 62,
Model Rating: 86/100 | Model win probability: 7% | Fair: 13/1 | Available: 25/1 | Grade: A- / EW Valentine Catcher is the speculative play, but there are strong handicap reasons for believing 25/1 is too large. He is currently rated 19lb below his last winning mark, although that does slightly flatter the statistic because
Model Rating: 91/100 | Win probability: 23% | Fair: 10/3 | Available: 6/1 | Grade: A+ Value Point Of Contact is one of tomorrow’s most interesting handicappers because there is a strong case for ignoring his latest Sandown effort. He had previously won a 16-runner York handicap in June and is only 3lb higher here.
Model Rating: 93/100 | Win probability: 36% | Fair: 7/4 | Available: 5/2 | Grade: A+ Thunderous Love is the strongest overall profile tomorrow. She was arguably the best horse at the weights when runner-up at Salisbury last time, committing for home a long way out in a strongly-run race and only being picked off