Model Rating: 92/100 | Win Probability: 31% | Fair Odds: 9/4 | Market: 5/2 | Grade: A Value
Rock Montreal is the juvenile selection, although naturally he carries more uncertainty than Queenstown or Silver Lake because he has raced only once.
Roger Varian’s colt made a striking winning debut at Yarmouth, showing clear greenness before finishing strongly enough to suggest that he has considerably more ability than the bare form figure reveals.
That potential matters here because several rivals are more exposed.
Nabati sets the established form standard after winning two of his three starts and is currently around 11/8, while Forbidden Fire was also impressive on debut for Andrew Balding.
The difference is price.
Rock Montreal is available around 5/2, and Timeform’s current analysis also places him ahead of Nabati, highlighting the likelihood of substantial improvement from his...

Model Rating: 94/100 | Win Probability: 38% | Fair Odds: 13/8 | Market: 2/1 | Grade: A+ Value
Silver Lake is one of Friday’s strongest progressive-handicap profiles.
William Haggas’s three-year-old arrives seeking a four-timer, with recent form figures of 6-3-1-1-1, and remains comparatively lightly raced. She is now rated OR92, but there is nothing in her latest performances to suggest the handicapper has definitely caught up with her yet.
The weight-for-age structure is a significant positive.
She carries 9st5lb, whereas older mare Salamanca City carries 9st12lb, and the three-year-old allowance gives Silver Lake an important advantage against more exposed opposition.
James Doyle retains the ride for William Haggas, a combination that needs no introduction in progressive middle-distance handicaps.
The move to 1m4f looks suitable rather than problematic. Silver Lake has been...