Model Rating: 93/100 | Win Probability: 17% | Fair Odds: 5/1 | Market: 15/2 | Grade: A+ Value
Recobella is the strongest price-based selection of the day.
Her recent figures of 5-2-5-1-2-1 show a mare thriving since being asked to race over middle distances. She won at Ayr before another career-best performance at Thirsk last month, getting up over a mile and a half despite racing a little freely.
She is only 4lb higher tomorrow, racing from OR60.
What makes that particularly interesting is her French form. Current race analysis considers her still potentially well treated on what she achieved before coming to Britain, meaning the recent victories haven't necessarily exhausted her handicap improvement.
The deteriorating Haydock ground is another positive rather than a concern. Recobella has already demonstrated that she handles soft ground, whereas some of the horses around her in...

Model Rating: 91/100 | Win Probability: 38% | Fair Odds: 13/8 | Market: 2/1 | Grade: A+
Power Of Knowledge is taking an unusual route, but there is enough substance behind his debut to make him interesting.
He's by Camelot out of Annie Power, so his pedigree inevitably attracts attention, but I'm not selecting him simply because of that. The important evidence is his Galway debut, where he finished fifth after starting favourite and did not enjoy a completely clear passage in the closing stages. The form of that bumper has subsequently worked out positively.
Willie Mullins now sends him straight over hurdles rather than returning for another bumper.
That's a significant move.
Mark Walsh has been booked, and the combination of Mullins and Walsh adds confidence that he has shown enough jumping ability at home to justify starting his hurdling career in this spot.
Kilbeggan is...

Model Rating: 94/100 | Win Probability: 38% | Fair Odds: 13/8 | Market: 2/1 | Grade: A+
Wyle Cop has completely changed his profile since concentrating on five furlongs at Lingfield and arrives attempting a course-and-distance hat-trick.
He won over this C&D before producing an even stronger performance here last time, landing another handicap by 2¼ lengths after being heavily supported. That victory came from OR72 and was good enough for the handicapper to raise him 7lb to OR79, so tomorrow requires another career best. The important point, though, is that his recent performances suggest he is still improving rather than merely beating exposed Class 6 opposition.
The course evidence is a particularly strong positive. Lingfield's sharp five furlongs can favour horses that handle its bends and positioning requirements, and Wyle Cop has now proved twice that the setup suits...

Model Rating: 90/100 | Win Probability: 20% | Fair Odds: 4/1 | Market: 5/1 | Grade: A Value
Walking On Stars interests me because the market has become extremely lopsided towards Castlemont.
Sir Mark Prescott's filly has steadily progressed through three starts, producing figures of 5-4-2, and her latest run was comfortably her best. She finished only three-quarters of a length second at Lingfield over 1m2f, staying on in a manner that strongly suggested a longer trip would help.
Tomorrow she gets exactly that.
She steps up to 1m4f, which should play heavily to her pedigree as a daughter of Sea The Stars, and it is also the sort of distance progression at which Prescott-trained middle-distance horses frequently begin to improve.
Luke Morris retains the ride.
She has already shown she handles an artificial surface, so Southwell's Tapeta shouldn't present a new variable. There is...