Model Rating: 90/100 | Win Probability: 24% | Fair Odds: 3/1 | Forecast: ~7/2 | Grade: A Value

Namiid is the Irish horse I want on the shortlist, although this one is price-sensitive because the full fixed-odds market is not yet as developed as the British races tonight.

Johnny Murtagh’s three-year-old already has one major advantage over several rivals: he is a course-and-distance winner, having won over this five furlongs at Navan in May. His current handicap mark is OR82, and subsequent efforts have generally suggested that mark remains workable rather than having stopped his progress.

The return to Navan therefore makes plenty of sense.

The latest going is Good, good to yielding in places, so there are no obvious surface concerns.

This is competitive. Amiata has won two of her recent starts and is progressive, Moltophino shaped well last time, while Erosandpsyche has been competing in stronger company and has recent Listed-level form.

Namiid nevertheless has the proven track angle and remains young enough to improve again.

Sporting Life/Timeform also make him their first choice, highlighting his C&D success and subsequent solid handicap efforts.