Model Rating: 94/100 | Win Probability: 41% | Fair Odds: 7/5 | Available: 7/4 | Grade: A+

Atlantic Bridge has achieved considerably more than the bare 4-4 form figures suggest.

His debut came in a good Curragh maiden where he finished only around a length away in fourth. That form has substance: winner La Tache is now rated 90, while Southern Boulevard, who finished ahead of him, was introduced to handicaps from 83. Atlantic Bridge was therefore operating at a useful level immediately rather than picking up fourth in an ordinary maiden.

He then returned to the Curragh and again finished fourth in another strong maiden. That race was won by Group 3-entered Push The Boat, with Marco Polo second and subsequent Listed-placed New Bond Street third. Atlantic Bridge travelled into that six-furlong race but did not appear to finish the trip as strongly as those around him.

That makes tomorrow’s drop back to five furlongs a major positive.

He has already shown plenty of natural speed, and Navan’s stiff finish means this is not an outright speedball five where stamina is irrelevant. The likely strong gallop should allow him to settle into the race before using the experience gained from those two Curragh starts.

The main concern is the jockey situation. Dylan Browne McMonagle had originally been booked but will not ride following his fall at Bellewstown on Tuesday; a replacement had not yet been confirmed in the latest published information.

Better Yet and Southern Boulevard are genuine dangers, but Atlantic Bridge has already produced two pieces of form that suggest an ordinary maiden should be within reach.