Model Rating: 90/100 | Win Probability: 27% | Fair Odds: 11/4 | Target: 3/1+ | Grade: A

Tai Hang Pegasus is beginning to put everything together.

His form of 4-7-6-2-3-1 shows a steady progression rather than one isolated good run, and he produced a clear career-best when winning at Brighton last time over a mile and a half. That was also his first attempt against older horses, making the ease of the victory particularly encouraging.

The handicapper has raised him 6lb to OR78, but he remains a three-year-old receiving weight from the older horses and carries only 9st 1lb. That age allowance is significant over this trip in late summer.

Dropping slightly from 1m4f to Windsor’s 1m3f99yd should not inconvenience him. He settles well enough and showed at Brighton that stamina is not an issue. Windsor tends to reward horses able to hold a position before building momentum around the home turn, and his recent development suggests he is now tactically mature enough to cope.

Cape Fear is the major danger. He bounced back with cheekpieces when second at Chester and Oisin Murphy rides. Raulin is also respected after winning at Ripon before changing yards and now has a tongue tie fitted for the first time.

Tai Hang Pegasus is nevertheless the runner with the strongest combination of recent improvement and potential to outrun his revised mark.