Arapaho Gold is the strongest model selection of the day. He is unbeaten in three starts and has progressed each time, with his latest Newbury success proving particularly significant because the form has already held up. He is officially rated 104, carries the standard 9st 2lb and keeps Connor Beasley for Michael Dods.

The attractive part of his profile is that he is not simply unbeaten — his racing style suggests there is more there. He has travelled strongly, coped with different race shapes and has already shown he can sustain his speed over six furlongs. York’s long straight should therefore suit rather than expose him.

The current ground is softer than some of the early-week expectations, but he has not shown anything suggesting good-to-soft should blunt him. He also looks less dependent on a perfect tactical setup than several rivals.

Adaay Of Scarlett is battle-hardened and gets first-time cheekpieces, while Marco Polo is open to plenty of improvement, but both have more to prove than Arapaho Gold. Sporting Life also makes him the clear form pick.

Model: 94/100
Win Probability: 33%
Fair: 2/1
Current: 5/2