Model Rating: 89/100 | Win Probability: 40% | Fair Odds: 6/4 | Available: 15/8 | Grade: A

Chasing Blues has taken a significant step forward since returning from a long absence.

He came back after 14 months off with an encouraging fourth at Wexford before improving again three weeks later when second over approximately 2m1f at the same venue. He travelled well enough there to put himself into contention and was only headed close home.

That gives him a sizeable experience and fitness advantage over several of tomorrow’s opposition. Henry de Bromhead keeps him in maiden company rather than immediately pursuing handicaps, while Darragh O’Keeffe takes the ride.

He isn’t completely bombproof. Timeform notes that he has not always looked entirely straightforward, and Seven Towers represents an obvious threat for Gavin Cromwell after showing promise previously.

At 15/8, though, Chasing Blues remains slightly bigger than my fair assessment.

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